Sunday, May 22, 2011

Post "Karachi Terror Attack" political scenarios

As I sit down to write my first ever blog entry on the terror attacks in Karachi ( Sindh Province, Pakistan ), siege is on at the Naval Base as a dozen of people including some terrorists have been killed. Although Pak Taliban claims that this attack is its revenge against Osama's killing, it doesn't seem to be so from the sheer complexity & the preparedness needed for such an assault. Besides Taliban could've easily attacked more vulnerable bases in Abottabad, Rawalpindi etc.

Whatever be the aim/modus operandi of the Terror outfit, I would like to muse over the implications/consequences of the attack. Happenings in Pakistan affect only 4 nations - It's big daddy, The US of A, its meek eastern neighbor India, its crippled/war ravaged western neighbor Afghanistan and last but not the least - Pakistan itself.

Whether this is a staged attack or not is still unclear but if it is one it is bound to backfire! The question that US should and will now ask itself is - whether Pakistan's nuclear arsenal ( a gift of friendship from US ) is still safe in the hands of Pakistani establishment or not. And it is so clear that a nation that cannot guard its military posts from homegrown terror outfits is quite incapable of defending its nuclear arsenal and civilian installations alike. It also puts a question mark on the intelligence gathering agency - ISI's credentials. Any terror attack on the soil must be thwarted instead of being fought off , is my belief. However I would like to note here that it has long been known that the snake ( Taliban ) which the ISI nurtured is all set to bite ISI's bossom! Its also a good time for the Pak leadership to take the military to task. Its cash strapped economy has been doling out funds to the armed forces in the name of national security. Where the hell is national security? Up in fumes? - is what the democratically elected Govt at Islamabad should ask its Generals.

This raid does not hold much consequence for Afghanistan. Although its shows that Pak Taliban is focusing its energies on Pakistan should bring a respite for Hamid Karzai led government at Kabul.

India on the other hand still needs to be cautious. On a different note this raid has snatched altogether from New Delhi the agenda it was pursuing post OBL raid - that Pakistan only gives shelter to terrorists. Pak will now leave no stone unturned to tell the world or rather reaffirm its earlier position - Pakistan is itself a victim of extremist terrorism ! ( & thereby must be conferred billions of $ as defense aid )

My condolences the the people of Pakistan and especially those who have lost their kin in this attack .

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